Economic Events and Corporate Reports - Sunday, February 15, 2026 Global Market, S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 50, Nikkei 225, MOEX

Key Economic Events and Corporate Reports on Sunday, February 15, 2026. Analysis of Global Markets, Reports from U.S., European, Asian, and Russian Companies, Dynamics of S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 50, Nikkei 225, and MOEX for CIS Investors.

Sundays rarely bring direct trading impulses: major exchanges are closed, liquidity is limited, and market reactions often shift to futures and currencies. Nevertheless, it is on days like these that the risk profile for the upcoming week is established. On February 15, 2026, the focus for investors will be on inflation signals from the Middle East, preliminary GDP data from Japan, and public comments from the President of the European Central Bank. For the CIS audience, this is a critical set of indicators: it sets the tone for global risk appetite, influences the dynamics of the dollar and yen, and, through commodity and currency channels, impacts the sensitivity of Russian assets and the MOEX market to external factors.

Market Context: Key Factors to Consider Before the Week Starts

Before the start of a new week, investors typically assess three layers of the "market temperature": (1) sentiment in the U.S. as indicated by the S&P 500 and futures dynamics, (2) expectations for rates in Europe as reflected in the bond market and ECB rhetoric, and (3) the Asian cycle through Japan and China, where macro data can rapidly change the movement of the yen and regional indices. During the weekend, the key indicator is the behavior of futures on U.S. indices and commodities during electronic trading sessions: this may not always be an accurate forecast, but it serves as a useful marker for how the market digests news leading up to Monday's opening.

• U.S.: sensitivity to inflation surprises and bond yields is crucial; futures often provide the first signal for the week's opening.
• Europe: the driver is expectations regarding the trajectory of interest rates and the ECB's tone; even a single speech can shift probabilities in prices.
• Asia: Japan's GDP is a key trigger for the yen and Nikkei 225; the effects can then ripple through global portfolios.

Economic Events of the Day: Calendar and Timing

Below are time references. For our CIS readers, it is convenient to remember: MSK = GMT+3. If you're trading through international brokers, please verify the timing of releases against your platform's time zone.

• Saudi Arabia — Inflation (CPI) for January: 06:00 GMT (09:00 MSK). Important are the dynamics of core components and price stability in services. For markets, this signals "internal pressure" in the regional economy and serves as an indirect factor in discussions about monetary policy in dollar-pegged countries.
• Eurozone — Public Comments from the ECB President: 09:30 GMT (12:30 MSK). The market will listen for phrases related to the balance of risks (inflation vs growth) and hints regarding the duration of restrictive policies.
• Japan — Preliminary GDP for Q4: 23:50 GMT (02:50 MSK on February 16). Key components include domestic consumption, investment, and external demand contribution. An upside surprise typically supports cyclical stories and strengthens the yen; a downside surprise increases caution and boosts demand for safe-haven assets.

How Macro Factors Can Influence Markets: Three Scenarios

1. Saudi Arabia's Inflation Above Expectations: increases the likelihood of more "hawkish" rhetoric in the region, heightening interest in the dollar and short-duration instruments. For risk assets, this might mean a more cautious week's opening.
2. Japan’s GDP Stronger Than Expected: boosts the chance of yen appreciation, while the Nikkei 225 may respond ambiguously (a strong yen can sometimes pressure exporters). At the global level, this supports the narrative of sustainable growth in Asia.
3. "Hawkish" ECB Comments: yields in Europe could rise, potentially cooling demand for stocks in the Euro Stoxx 50 and fostering rotation among sectors (banks/defensive industries vs "long" growth stories).

Corporate Reports: What Will Be Released on Sunday

According to the scheduled calendars, Sundays usually account for a limited number of reports, with major issuers (top-tier S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 50, Nikkei 225, and MOEX) typically releasing results during weekdays. Therefore, February 15 is more of a "preparatory" day: investors refine expectations ahead of the upcoming week’s releases, read preliminary materials, and adjust risk limits.

Nevertheless, individual companies (often mid-cap or international listings) may appear on calendars, and the market tends to focus on a standard set of metrics: revenue, margins, cash flow, debt load, and guidance.

Reporting Calendar: Pre-Market and After-Market

Below are examples of companies that may appear on the calendars for this date. Note that weekend publications may be postponed or have "floating" statuses, so the final publication time should be confirmed by official issuer announcements.

U.S., Europe, Asia, and Russia: Index Highlights

• S&P 500: main sensitivity lies with rates and inflation expectations. During the weekend, futures dynamics and yields take precedence over specific corporate news.
• Euro Stoxx 50: focus is on ECB communications and their impact on banks, industry, and the consumer sector. Even without a significant flow of reports, the European market might receive an impulse through the regulator's rhetoric.
• Nikkei 225: the key trigger is Japan's GDP and yen reaction. For global portfolios, Japan often serves as a barometer for the Asian cycle.
• MOEX: basic trading in stocks is closed on Sundays, so external risk appetite, oil prices, dollar exchange rate, and expectations for Monday serve as guides. For CIS investors, it is crucial to assess potential gap scenarios at the opening in light of changes in the global backdrop.

Key Risks of the Day

• Low Liquidity: movements in futures and individual instruments over the weekend may be "noisy" and may not always be confirmed at the opening of major exchanges.
• Macro Surprises: unexpected inflation or GDP figures over the weekend can shift currencies and rate expectations before Monday.
• Calendar Uncertainty of Reports: publications on weekends often see delays or clarifications regarding timing; this raises the risk of misaligning trades with events.

What Investors Should Pay Attention To

1. Check the "Week Map": create a list of key events for the next 3–5 trading days (macro data, regulatory decisions, reports from major companies) and predefined risk levels.
2. Currency Scenarios: the dollar-yen pair may react quickly to Japan's GDP, affecting global portfolios and indirectly impacting commodity assets.
3. ECB Signals: evaluate not just the "hawkishness/dovishness," but also specifics: risk balances, conditions for rate changes, and focus on service and wage inflation.
4. Prepare for Monday on MOEX: for CIS investors, it is useful to determine an action plan in advance for significant changes in external factors (oil, dollar, global indices)—especially when using leverage.

February 15, 2026, is a day when macroeconomic signals may prove to be more significant than the usual stream of corporate reports. Inflation in Saudi Arabia, preliminary GDP from Japan, and ECB rhetoric will form a trifecta of factors capable of influencing currencies, rate expectations, and the sentiment of global markets heading into the week. The practical task for the investor is not to try to "catch" every movement in a thin market, but rather to prepare scenarios, set risk limits, and enter Monday with a plan regarding key levels and events.