Key Economic Events and Corporate Reports for Monday, February 16, 2026: Japan's GDP, Eurozone Industrial Production, Canada’s Inflation, and Holidays in the U.S. and China. Analysis of Impact on Global Equity Markets.
- Liquidity Below Normal: The U.S. and Canada are not trading (Washington’s Birthday/Presidents’ Day and Family Day), while mainland China is closed for the Chinese New Year; Hong Kong is operating on a half-day schedule.
- Economic Events of the Day: Japan's GDP for Q4 2025; Eurozone industrial production for December; Canada's CPI for January has been postponed to February 17.
- Market Focus: S&P 500 - no cash trading, reactions are transitioning to futures/FX; Euro Stoxx 50 and Nikkei 225 are gaining more weight; MOEX is sensitive to currency, commodities, and local corporate news.
February 16, 2026 - a typical "thin Monday": part of the major trading centers are inactive, so even moderate news in macroeconomics or corporate reports can provoke disproportionate price reactions. Below is a compact economic events calendar and a summary of reports for February 16, 2026, with a global focus and relevance for investors in the CIS.
Day Calendar: Events Shaping the "Risk Agenda"
- U.S.: no trading (Washington’s Birthday/Presidents’ Day). This “muted” cash signals for S&P 500 and reduces arbitrage between regions.
- Canada: no trading (Family Day). CPI for January officially postponed to Tuesday, February 17.
- China (mainland): exchanges closed for the Spring Festival (Chinese New Year).
- Hong Kong: half-day trading and non-settlement day before the Lunar New Year — “ragged” quotes on China-proxies may occur.
- Japan (02:50 MSK): first estimate of GDP for Q4 2025 — a key driver for Nikkei 225 and USD/JPY during the Asian session.
- Eurozone (13:00 MSK): industrial production for December — sensitive for cyclical sectors of Euro Stoxx 50 and central bank rate expectations.
- Russia: the start of Russian Business Week (February 16–20). The first day includes forums by RSPP focused on personnel, technical regulation, and regulatory policy.
Asia: Japan's GDP and the Effect of China's "Holiday Vacuum"
Japan's GDP for Q4 2025 came in weaker than expected: growth was approximately 0.2% year-on-year (annualized), and the quarterly pace was around 0.1%. In a "thin" market, this increases the probability of movement via the currency channel (yen) and the transfer of sentiments into global futures.
The closure of mainland China restricts the reassessment of demand for commodities and signals from supply chains; Hong Kong remains an entry point, but the shortened session may distort the picture.
Europe: Industrial Production and Central Bank Rhetoric
December's industrial production in the Eurozone is one of the few "hard" indicators of the day. For Euro Stoxx 50, critical factors are (1) the direction of the surprise relative to expectations, (2) sectoral reactions — industrial companies, autos, chemicals, (3) what this means for the trajectory of rates and the balance of "growth vs inflation" for central banks. The agenda also includes a Eurogroup meeting and public comments from monetary authorities.
North America: A Cashless Day, But Not Without Price
The closures in the U.S. and Canada elevate the role of futures, currencies, and commodities as "intermediaries" for global risk. For investors, this is a practical signal: to consider the widening of spreads and potential liquidity gaps in instruments linked to the S&P 500 and USD-assets.
Russia and CIS: Context for MOEX
For MOEX, the day unfolds against a backdrop of limited external liquidity and a busy domestic business agenda (Business Week in Russia). At the level of individual stocks, “small” corporate triggers — operational updates, coupon payments, corporate events — begin to play a more significant role; international investors from the CIS generally monitor the impact through the ruble and commodity prices.
Corporate Reports: Confirmed Publications for February 16, 2026
The table below lists major public companies with confirmed publications/results on February 16, 2026 (according to official company and exchange calendars). If there are no open expectations for revenue/profit, "not specified" is indicated. For the U.S., no major confirmed reports were identified for this date (holiday).
| Company | Exchange/Region | Expected Key Figures (Revenue/Profit/Notes) |
|---|---|---|
| Bridgestone Corporation | Japan (TSE) | Annual report for 2025; publication scheduled for 14:30 (Tokyo). Focus: margin, FX effect, guidance. Figures/consensus — not specified. |
| Sartorius AG | Germany (Frankfurt/Xetra) | Publication of annual report 2025. Preliminary: revenue €3.538 billion; underlying EBITDA €1.052 billion (margin 29.7%); underlying net profit €331 million. |
| Sartorius Stedim Biotech S.A. | France (Euronext Paris) | Publication of annual report 2025. Preliminary: revenue €2.967 billion; underlying EBITDA €914 million (margin 30.8%); net profit €266 million. |
| JB Hi-Fi Limited | Australia (ASX) | HY26 results presentation. Metrics: sales/margin/dividend — not specified. |
| Stockland | Australia (ASX) | 1H26 Results. Metrics: FFO, portfolio valuation, development, dividend — not specified. |
| Treasury Wine Estates | Australia (ASX) | Interim results: profit before one-off items ~A$128.5 million; substantial asset write-down; dividend suspended (according to media reports). |
| Ansell Limited | Australia (ASX) | Publication of half-year results (to December 31, 2025). Metrics: revenue/margin/FX — not specified. |
| Public Joint Stock Company "MGKL" | Russia (MOEX) | "Operational results for January 2026" according to the issuer's calendar. Details of revenue/volumes — not specified until publication. |
| U.S.: Major Public Companies | U.S. (NYSE/Nasdaq) | Not specified (on February 16, 2026, no major reports confirmed; market closed) |
Visualizations and Mermaid Timeline for Publication
- FX Panel: USD/JPY (reaction to Japan's GDP), EUR/USD and USD/CAD (against expectations for CPI).
- Sector Map: reaction of Euro Stoxx 50 to industrial production (industry/auto/chemicals).
- Index Thermometer: Nikkei 225, Euro Stoxx 50, S&P 500 futures, MOEX — all in one window.
February 16, 2026 (MSK): Economic events and corporate reports 00:00-23:59 : U.S./Canada — no trading | China (mainland) — holiday 00:00-23:59 : Hong Kong — half-day trading (Eve of Lunar New Year) 02:50 : Japan — GDP (Q4 2025, first estimate) 13:00 : Eurozone — industrial production (December) 16:30 : Canada — CPI (postponed to February 17) 10:00-17:00 : Russia — start of Russian Business Week (RSPP) 00:00-23:59 : Corporate reports — Bridgestone; Sartorius/SSB; Australia (JBH, SGP, ANN, TWE); RF (MGKL)
What Investors Should Watch For
- "Thin Market" Risk: In the absence of the U.S., cash-oriented benchmarks for S&P 500 are unavailable, spreads and slippage may increase.
- Nikkei 225 and Currency: Weak GDP from Japan enhances the role of USD/JPY as a global sentiment indicator.
- Euro Stoxx 50: Eurozone industrial production is the main macro trigger of the day; sectoral reaction is crucial.
- Canada's CPI: The key inflation release is postponed to February 17 — Monday may be a "waiting day" for CAD assets.
- Corporate Reports: In Europe — details of annual reports from Sartorius/SSB following strong preliminary figures; in Asia — margin and guidance from Bridgestone; in Australia — signals from consumers (JB Hi-Fi) and real estate (Stockland), as well as profit quality from Treasury Wine Estates.
- MOEX: Internal events and operational updates can amplify dispersion for individual stocks; for the CIS portfolio, the key is managing currency risk and liquidity scenarios.
The combination of "economic events" + "corporate reports" on February 16, 2026, needs to be interpreted with consideration of the weekend calendar: markets reassess risk through Europe, Japan, and currencies, while corporate news receives disproportionate weight.
