According to Reuters, the facilities of "Lukoil," "Rosneft," "Gazprom Neft," and "Surgutneftegas" have been affected, collectively producing over 30% of gasoline and 25% of diesel in the country. Exchange prices for AI-92 gasoline increased by 2% over the week, AI-95 by 3%, and year-on-year, gasoline prices have risen by 19-24%.

However, experts do not consider the situation critical. The attacks do not imply a complete shutdown of the plants — the damage is being addressed within one to fourteen days. "The market is reacting not to a physical shortage but to the risks of such a shortage," says Sergey Tereshkin, CEO of Open Oil Market, comparing the current situation to the rise in oil quotations preceding the Middle Eastern crisis. In the event of fuel shortages in certain regions, Belarus is ready to supply over 200,000 tons of gasoline per month duty-free. The Ministry of Energy reports market stability, and Novak has convened an emergency meeting.

Forbes analyzed why there is a gasoline shortage on the exchange while gas stations remain unaffected, how long it typically takes to restore damaged refineries, and what assistance Belarus can provide.

?: Fire at the Tuapse Oil Refinery, April 16, 2026 (Photo: Maxar / Getty Images)